“I’ve had some interesting conversations with clients these last few weeks. I work in the financial industry and we are well aware that several of our clients have way too much debt (yes, a lot of it is bad decisions regarding real estate investments). We have a list of those we anticipate will be going bankrupt in the next 1-2 years. However, we’ve had a few surprises-people who we thought were fine financially are calling up and confessing that they are facing financial problems-credit card debt, loc debt etc. It’s quite surprising to hear from these people that things are not so good after all. In terms of bankruptcies, we’ve seen it coming for a few years now, but it only seems to be about now that people are facing the inevitable. Before they could run through savings, cash out RRSPs, run up that LOC in hopes that things would turn around. But now there is no money/credit left. The end of the line is here, it’s strange how it seems to be coming to so many people at the same time-I would expect to see a flood of bankruptcies over the next two years. I can’t see how the housing market will continue the way it has, people are tapped out now.”
– pricedoutfornow at vancouvercondo.info 10 Nov 2011 10:20am
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Type of Anecdote
- 01. He Said, She Said (248)
- 02. Profiting from the Boom (446)
- 03. Changed my Life (106)
- 04. Changed my Career (39)
- 05. Where do Buyers get the money? (1,111)
- 06. Held my Nose and Leapt (97)
- 07. Avoiding Vancouver (378)
- 08. Overextended Buyers (1,198)
- 09. Delaying Buying (316)
- 10. Demoralized Renters? (367)
- 11. Regrets about Investing in RE (417)
- 12. Effects of Development (279)
- 13. 2010 Olympics Related (74)
- 14. Social Effects of the Boom (1,266)
- 15. Misallocation of Resources (967)
- 16. Missed The Boat? (237)
- 17. The Froogle Scott Chronicles (27)
- 18. Spot The Speculator (174)
- 19. BlastRadiusPostCards (17)
- 20. The Limitless Demand Argument For Ongoing Market Strength (70)
- 21. Vancouver RE-Verse [Found Poems] (8)
- 22. RE References In Popular Culture (45)
- 23. Jumping The Shark (1)
- 24. Policies On Housing (11)
- 25. Epigrams For The Bubble (1)
- 26. Premature Calls Of "Bottom" (3)
- 27. Seller Panic (3)
- 28. Erroneous Causation Theories For Falling Prices (7)
- 29. Bubblespeak (1)
- Uncategorized (177)
Blogroll
- 01 Vancouver Condo Info
- 02 AmericaCanada [retired, no archive]
- 03 Housing Analysis
- 04 RealEstateTalks BC
- 05 Vancouver RE and then some
- 06 Whispers from the Village on the Edge of the Rainforest
- 07 Greater Fool
- 08 Canada Bubble
- 09 Rob Chipman's blog
- 10 YatterMatters
- 11 condohype [retired; archives available]
- 12 vancouver (un)real estate
- 13 Agent Will's Stats [retired]
- 14 Landlord Rescue
- 15 The Economic Analyst
- 16 Canadian Housing Price Charts
- 17 Hoodsurf [retired Jun 2011]
- 18 World Housing Bubble
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- 20 North American Economics
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Latest Anecdotes:
- “I’m surprised that everyone else is so surprised to hear anyone talk about a housing bubble” – “Canadian RE 2021 worse than U.S. bubble at 2006 peak” – David Rosenburg
- “Always the Right Time to Buy!” – Cheap Rope For Vancouver RE Buyers
- Mortgage Squeeze Anecdotes – “Two days ago my mortgage holder called and told me that, after 22 years, they would not renew my mortgage.”
- Wow! – CMHC CEO Evan Siddall Points To Unsustainable Debt & Calls For 18% Drop In Housing Prices – [which of course would mean a lot more off]
- Prediction: Vancouver RE Prices Will Not Crash… Unless They Crash
- Pre-Existing Disease – COVID Economic Stress Uncovers Longstanding Vulnerability in Vancouver RE Market
- COVID-19 the Pin for the Highly Debt-Leveraged Vancouver RE Bubble?
- Vancouver Sun Headline – ‘Five more Metro Vancouver homeowners hosed in a falling market’
- Vancouver RE Prices – Where is the Support?
- Money Laundering & Vancouver Home Prices
- “Psychologically, They’re Ill-Prepared” – “Canadian Chaos Looms”
- Keeping Up With Other Bubbles – Australia Suddenly Not Running Out Of Land Anymore – “Aussie House Prices Could Halve”
- Watershed? or Dam-Collapsing? – Mainstream Media Quoting Vancouver RE Bear-Tweets, and Predicting Shrinking Realtor Numbers – “What they’re used to is not what real estate is typically like.”
- “Within artistic communities in Vancouver it’s hard to spend more than 15 minutes at a social gathering without talking about the cost of rent or knowing of someone who is being evicted.”
- Macleans Wakes Up – ‘This is how Canada’s housing correction begins’ – “We’re not ready for what happens next”
- Vancouver Detached – Sales Down, Prices Down
- Bloomberg Calls Vancouver ‘The City That Had Too Much Money’
- “Our family loves Vancouver, but we’re leaving because the struggle to live here is simply too hard”
- Tendency Towards Corruption Is Inevitable – How Do We Minimize Its Existence?
- Hard Earned Home Savings? Hardly.
- “You know your real estate is in bad shape when there is a game app that displays Vancouver’s Science World and teaches you how to be a money hungry real estate developer.”
- “It’s sinking in that Vancouver is sinking” – “Westside prices have fallen 17% from 2016 & 11% this year; sales volumes down by 80%; 3 years worth of >$3 Million inventory”
- The Carrion Have The Carcass – “I’ve lived in Vancouver since 1968; my wife was born here; we are about to leave; this town has priced us out. All that is left are the investors and the very rich visitors.”
- All Time High, And Climbing… $251 Billion Personal Debt Borrowed Against Canadian Homes
- “I asked a group of young people how many of them thought they’d be in Vancouver in two years, and 17 out of 18 said that they would be moving.” – Mayoral Candidate Shauna Sylvester
- Off-The-Charts Unaffordable – Greater Vancouver Price-To-Income Ratio 28 (average home price: $1,071,800, median one-person income: $38,164)
- Conflicts of Interest – BC MLAs Heavily Invested In RE Making Laws About RE
- File Under Tags: ‘Tolerant Vancouver Renter’ and ‘YouGottaBeKiddinMe’
- Vancouver “an international housing-affordability basket case” with “RE bubble risk the worst in the world” – Maclean’s
- Vancouver Economy Over-Dependent On Debt Spending
- Vancouver City Councillors Wake Up To ‘Fierce Speculative Demand’ – “There is significant evidence speculative investment has the biggest impact on housing costs in the city.”
- The Dance Around Foreign Ownership of Vancouver RE
- Information From Outside The Vancouver RE Bubble – U.S. Senator Lives In (don’t laugh) $500K Home
- “The Position Remains Unfilled”
- Jessica Barrett – ‘I Left Vancouver Because Vancouver Left Me’ – “Like Living On An Abandoned Film Set.”
- “I’ve thought since early 2010 that Vancouver housing was in a bubble, and have refused to buy a house for this reason. I’ve felt that the risk of mean-reversion was far higher than the risk of missing the upside.”
- “It is very difficult to live here.”
- “We want young people to buy Real Estate.” – Vancouver’s Mayor
- “Vancouver RE Balloon Pricked; Median Price Detached Home Down >$500,000 to $1.7 million; Prices Need To Be Slashed”
- Detached Price Trend Remains Up, For Now. Speculators Hold Their Breath?
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You might also be interested in this story from good ol’ California:
http://www.timesunion.com/news/article/Student-housing-was-never-like-this-2266371.php
“Here in Merced, a city in the heart of the San Joaquin Valley and one of the country’s hardest hit by home foreclosures, the downturn in the real estate market has presented an unusual housing opportunity for thousands of college students. Facing a shortage of dorm space, they are moving into hundreds of luxurious homes in overbuilt planned communities.
There are three-car garages, wall-to-wall carpeting, whirlpool baths, granite kitchen countertops, walk-in closets and inviting gas fireplaces.
Not all neighbors are amused.”
you missed the last sentence of the article…
“Everybody on this street is underwater and can’t see any relief,” said John Angus, an out-of-work English teacher who paid $532,000 for a house that is now worth $221,000.
Painful.
I have family members who are financial planners and they were saying the same thing last night. They’re having a hard time figuring out how to turn down referrals from long-term clients. The problem is they’ll have a 50-something couple referred to them and say “make my retirement dreams come true!”. So they look at their finances and realize Mr. and Mrs. Boomer are already ruined and they don’t know it. Too many European river boat cruises and such. Bummer.
So they’ve been politely declining to take them on as clients and suggesting they talk to someone at their bank. As one of them said: “I don’t want my professional reputation attached to their failures”. It really sucks, but the whole room agreed. They’re seeing a lot of people who are maybe 10-15 years away from retirement with basically no savings and no plan. They may be willing to work past 65 but there’s a reason people retire. At some point they’ll just be too damn old to get out of bed every day and compete with their grandchildren for an hourly wage.
“Hello, welcome to Wal-Mart.”
“They’re seeing a lot of people who are maybe 10-15 years away from retirement with basically no savings and no plan”
Yes, this is the people we’re seeing-those who are in their early to mid 50s and at this age, unbelievably, still have mountains of debt. Though having said that, it’s not just those in this age group who are having financial difficulties (or will be, some don’t know it yet)-there are also those in their 30s who decided a few years ago to “create wealth through real estate” (ie debt). This credit binge has touched many across all ages. I don’t honestly see how many people are going to emerge unscathed from this.
– there are also those in their 30s who decided a few years ago to “create wealth through real estate”
It’s the Tom Vu generation. “I used to be loser, just like you! Come to my free 90-minute seminar! “
“At some point they’ll just be too damn old to get out of bed every day and compete with their grandchildren for an hourly wage.”
And then they get sick and die. Even healthy rich guys like Jobs and Layton can’t escape the ravages of age. J6P Boomers are in for a rude awakening.
My wife’s friend who is a sushi cook with 850K in mortgages for 2 properties fits the above story to a T. He bought both homes while his wife was out of work since Feb. 2011. Last week he lost his job and now he is up a creek. When my wife said there were 71,700 full time jobs lost in Canada last month he had no clue what she was saying. This looks like the saying: “When your neighbour is out of work it’s a recession but when you’re out of work it’s a depression”.
time to sell their over-priced real estate to HAM before the next bankrupt couple do!
Yup…. like we need lots more ignorant HAM’s to solve our self-induced problems.
Can anyone name any company/industry (besides real estate), which has voluntarily established itself in Vancouver and created lots of valuable high-paying jobs to justify such high property valuations?
Why should companies establish themselves in such an outrageously expensive location, when there are plenty of other cities in Canada with far cheaper costs of operation?
Where is future economic growth going to come from to support Vancouver’s astronomical living costs and rapidly aging population?