Tag Archives: Visual Anecdote

Realtor Tempts Buyers With Cash Back Incentives

From craigslist 27 Jul 2010 5:47PM -

“ATTN: BUYERS! RECEIVE $1000 IF YOU BUY WITH ME…. (Lower Mainland)”

Spot The Speculator #4 – “I can sleep at night okay” (laughter) “That’s a good thing. He’s invested in two other houses.”

Excerpts from CBC news, 6 July 2010 -

Harpreet Bajwa: “We bought it approximately for 580″

$580,000 for this house in  South Vancouver. Harpreet Bajwa bought it 11 weeks ago, did some renovations, and now he’s flipping it. This weekend his real estate agent is listing it for $729,000, hoping for a bidding war.

It worked for him before when he flipped this place 6 months ago.

When this house first went on the market back in December [2009] there were 50 families through in the first and only open house. There were five multiple offers. That was then. Last month sales in Vancouver plummeted 30% compared to a year ago.

Harpreet Bajwa remains optimistic.
Mr. Bajwa: “The up and downs do come in life, but, generally, it will go up.”
Interviewer: “You can sleep at night okay?”
Mr. Bajwa: “I can sleep at night okay” (laughter).
That’s a good thing. He’s invested in two other houses.

“I buy three, and my husband gonna buy three.” – Yaletown Speculator, 2004

A lady at a pre-sale promotion for the development ‘Yaletown Park’, in 2004, uttered words that are now immortalized as representative of the Vancouver RE bubble: “I buy three, and my husband gonna buy three.”

[Thanks to hatsujoki for extracting the clip from Greenhorn's full context clip here. And thanks to discussants at vancouvercondo.info for initiating the search for this gem. -vreaa]

Security, Protests, Waste, Charades – G20 In Toronto

Cost of security for the G8 & G20 summits estimated at $1 Billion.
Misallocation of valuable resources.

Hey, Toronto… You Call THAT A Bubble?!

“This house at Oakwood and St. Clair just sold for $1.05 Million ($151,000) over asking. We’re in a bubble. Now what? When it will pop. How bad it will be. 20 Neighbourhoods assessed for risk.”- Toronto Life, July 2010

From the point of view of a Vancouverite, this reminds me of the exchange where the late great Bill Hicks calls a guy in the audience who smokes “a pack-and-a-half” a “pussy”. (Bill: “I go through two lighters a day”.) From Vancouver’s perspective, Toronto is a bubble newby. But you have to admire their early insight; their ability to look at themselves critically. What do they know that we don’t? And how on earth can Toronto Life publish a cover like that? (Don’t they have any advertisers?) -vreaa

Fast And Loose Demolition In Vancouver

Wild west, frontier country; cowboy construction, daredevil demolition. All part of the culture of a hustle-or-be-hustled hot-hot-hot RE market. -vreaa

Southeast corner of Hornby Street and Helmcken Street around 5:15 p.m. PT on Thursday 10 Jun 2010, as reported at cbc.ca 11 Jun 2010.


Other videos angles: First wall; Second wall.

Vancouver RE Metaphor – Obvious, Yes, But Too Cute To Ignore

The Great Vancouver Real Estate Roller Coaster

vancouvercondo.info is currently the best online forum for sensible discussion regarding the Vancouver RE bubble. VCI host The Pope has now published an elegant video that allows one to experience the ups and downs (yes, downs!) of the Vancouver RE market, 1975 – 2010. Buckle up! -

Connect HERE to comments and discussion of this video.

Vancouver Westside Shed Price Update

Readers will remember this image, featured here 8 Apr 2010:

4274 13th Ave W; Point Grey; 1,614 sqft home; 50×122 lot; V821029

Asking price: $1.698 Million

UPDATE: Sold, 14 Apr 2010, $1.840 Million

Setting aside all jokes regarding the structure, this can be used as a watermark for 50′ lot prices on the Westside at this point in the bubble. -vreaa

Vancouver RE Becomes A Game, Literally – “Crack Shack or Mansion?”

When Vancouver RE becomes a subject of ridicule, can a top be far away? At crackshackormansion.com, pictures speak far louder than words. -vreaa

UPDATE: The authors of this fabulous website were later revealed to be teacher Petr Pospisil and his girlfriend Ola Rogula, a lab tech at the University of B.C., “frustrated when the price of an average detached home in Vancouver rose to over $1 million” [Vancouver Sun, 16 Apr 2010]. Thank you, Petr and Ola.

UPDATE – “Now I realize why I can’t take this CMHC Economist seriously…”

http://renwl.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/dan_aykroyd_thumb.gif

Interviewer: “The average price of a bungalow in Vancouver is $1M … doesn’t that look a little bubblish?”; CMHC Economist: “We haven’t been able to find any evidence yet of housing prices being out of line with fundamentals in any of the markets in Canada.”

Preserved for posterity. -vreaa

Bob Dugan, Chief Economist, CMHC, at bnn.ca 12 Apr 2010 8:15 am -

“Healthy activity in the new home market.”

[Interviewer: "It was an eyebrow raiser to see that the average price of a bungalow in Vancouver is near $1M ... doesn't that look a little bubblish?"]

“Well we’ve certainly looked at the question of a bubble and we haven’t been able to find any evidence yet of housing prices being out of line with fundamentals in any of the markets in Canada.”

“Price growth has been fairly modest overall… in a longer term context”.

[Interviewer: "So, generally speaking, a positive report!"]

March 2010 – Vancouver Detached Home Average Price Hits $1,000,000

Is that it? The top, we mean. There’d certainly be a nice symmetry to it. And it’s a number that will be really easy to remember for future conversations. -vreaa

[Note: This post regards AVERAGE price. The benchmark (closer to median) price for a Greater Vancouver detached house is about $800,796 (Feb 2010).]

Homeviewer Discretion Advised – ‘Vancouver Deliverance’ Visual Anecdote

Bubbles distort judgment. What was going through the realtor’s mind when they were capturing, uploading and presenting these photographs? Surely some form of cautious description in the MLS blurb would have sufficed? This house was discussed on various blogs recently, including greaterfool.ca 8 Mar 2010. Fascinatingly, an ex-owner supplied an anecdote, which is archived below the photos. -vreaa

MLS#V809495 3635 Prince Albert Street, Vancouver East, BC
Lot size 3,159 sq.ft   House 1,650 sq.ft
Asking price  $579,900
“Handy man special. Needs TLC. Mainly Land Value.”


Here’s poco at greaterfool.ca 9 Mar 2010 2:58 am - “Believe it or not, I owned this house back in 1973—I can’t stop laughing.–it was a dump back then but from the pics I see they’ve done a few upgrades.
It does bring back a lot of memories from those days. My first wife and I bought it for 28k in Sept 73 from her mother (somewhat as a gift) we split up and I stayed in the house while we tried to sell it.
Finally sold in the fall of 75 for 43k–had a huge moving out party where I met my 2nd wife—-I wrote her phone number in the dust on the siding “shingles” to the left of the front door– whenever we were in that part of town we would drive by and lo and behold the phone number was still there –years later.
Note the dark brown cupboards in the small pantry(?) area– I swear thats the “mac tac” (70s thing) I covered them with.
But thanks once again for that link– I’ve e-mailed it to many–and yes I will be going by it this week.
PS-hope andrew doesn’t see this –he’ll be calling me a fool for not keeping it as a rental.”

Income vs House Price Changes 1996-2009

There is no way of explaining this chart other than via a bubble in housing prices. -vreaa

Canada Income and Home Prices

from Alexandre Pestov’s ‘The Elusive Canadian Housing Bubble’ Feb 2010

Visual Anecdote – US RE Sentiment Mar 2010 vs June 2005

from NYTimes article by Robert Shiller, March 2010

Time Magazine, June 2005

The Charts Don’t Lie – Water Consumption During The Gold Medal Hockey Game

Okay, this is off topic, and, okay, these are Edmonton stats, but they could just as easily be stats from Vancouver, and the chart is just too beautiful not to post. Thanks to my good friend Clive for send it along. From patspapers.com 8 Mar 2010 -vreaa

Canadian Business Magazine Cover – ‘Why Buying A House Is A Bad Investment’

RE Bears shouldn’t get too excited about covers like this. Usually it’s the exuberant covers that indicate market tops. As a sentiment indicator, this cover indicates that the market has a way to run yet. But perhaps it’s different this time. -vreaa

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Canadian Business, 16 March 2010

Dutch Housing Prices Over 300 Years

From huizenmarkt-zeepbel.nl, 2008. Corrected for inflation.

The Froogle Scott Chronicles: Mortgaging Our Souls In Paradise – Part 5: Raise or Raze

The apparent Vancouver RE ‘boom’ has been based on the spending of imagined wealth. This has involved individual and group self-deceit. As a society, we’ve pretended that local homes are worth twice what they were a handful of years ago, and acted as though they were worth well above twice their value as defined by usefulness. Banks, just as besotted by the game as the rest of us, have allowed some of us to borrow vast amounts of money and commit to ‘buying’ at these fairy-tale levels, and the rest of us have then acted as though these transactions are indicative of true values. Some owners, based on the consequent newly imagined values of their houses, have in turn borrowed money from the banks, and spent it. Sometimes on frivolous toys, but, at least as often, on renovations, or the construction or purchase of new properties. And thus the game has perpetuated itself. The spending both directly and indirectly attributable to this charade is likely ultimately immeasurable. It has been so vast as to allow our economy to seem to weather a devastating recession. But almost none of the imagined wealth or the consequent spending is the result of actual productive activity. It is all the result of the spending of very large amounts of borrowed money.  When the game ends, and when our shared understanding of the value of housing returns to levels closer to the historic norm, the debt accumulated through this process will remain. As Bob Dylan says: “Statues made of matchsticks crumble into one another.”
In his wonderful fifth episode, Froogle Scott shares with us his careful observations of the effects of the boom on the houses in his neighbourhood, and describes the process whereby “increasingly massive war chests of home equity” are used to renovate and construct. He coins the henceforth indispensable term ‘Boom Box’ to describe the utilitarian houses that have been built in Vancouver in recent years. He explores streets, houses, and memories. -vreaa

Part 5: Raise or Raze

Renovation and construction mania
I walk around our neighbourhood taking inventory: renovation, renovation, that house raised and a new foundation poured, that one with a second storey added, and there, a house demolished — razed with a “z” — and a new house built in its place. In the six and a half years that my wife and I have lived in the Grandview area of Vancouver, there have been a startling number of major renovations, and demolitions followed by new construction. Weekday mornings, on my ten-minute walk to the SkyTrain station at Commercial and Broadway, I pass through a two-and-a-half block stretch where one house is being raised, another across the street is demolished and a new house is being built, and around the corner two houses are being totally transformed by the addition of second storeys. It’s difficult to find a block that hasn’t had at least one major renovation or new house built in the last few years, and on a number of blocks there have been multiple projects. A renovation and construction mania has seized the neighbourhood, and it’s still ongoing.
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An inventory
In February of 2010 I decide to do an inventory. My guidelines are simple. I walk all the blocks in the pocket between major streets where our house is located and count the number of major renovations and new houses that have completed since September of 2003, when we bought our house, or projects that are still ongoing. By major renovation I don’t mean new windows and doors, or a new paint job, or a new porch or new deck — and there are plenty of these more moderate renos in the neighbourhood, which I also count and include in a separate category. I mean houses completely gutted back to the studs, or exteriors completely stripped, or houses raised to allow a new full-height basement or ground level, or houses given a full second storey addition. Renovations that often render the original house unrecognizable. I also include obviously new, or newly renovated houses that probably were completed in the year or two before we bought. In other words, I’m doing a somewhat unscientific, anecdotal inventory of the effects of Vancouver’s eight-year real estate boom on one old, established East Side neighbourhood — a place typified for many years by hundred-year-old character houses, a number of them somewhat dilapidated, smaller, workers’ bungalows like the house that we bought, or Vancouver Specials, an earlier wave of replacement housing stock built from the mid 60s to the mid 80s.
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The pre-boom neighbourhood
Here are two current photographs showing the housing stock that comprised close to one hundred percent of the neighbourhood pre-2002, the year the boom started. The first shot conveniently captures typical houses from four different eras of Vancouver residential architecture. From left to right: a hundred-year-old character house, a 1970s Vancouver Special, two 1950s stucco bungalows, and a 1920s or 1930s builder’s special, a stripped-down version of the Craftsman bungalow.
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Four different eras of Vancouver residential architecture
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….The second photograph neatly lines up houses from different periods of more recent Vancouver residential construction. On the left is a ‘late model’ Vancouver Special from perhaps the early or mid 1980s, when builders were dressing up the basic design with features like split roofs and upper storeys with offset sides, just before Vancouver City Hall put an end to the style’s proliferation. The other two houses you could call new-style Vancouver Specials, or monster houses (although I call them “mini monsters” because you can only get so big on a 33-foot lot), or the term I like best, from the general contractor who eventually completed our renovation: “builders’ boxes”. The house in the middle was probably built in the late 1980s, or early 1990s, when terracotta roof tiles, light yellow vinyl siding above a brick half-facade, and rows of narrow windows was a common look. The house on the right, although it looks similar to a number of houses built during the boom, was probably built in the mid 1990s. A clue that it pre-dates the boom by a few years is the colour — pink, which has now given way to beige as the one-colour-fits-all choice of discount spec builders — and the curved bay windows, with the stepped detailing beneath, which were common around 1994, if my research on RealtyLink is anything to go by. The trend over the past few years is boxed-out bay windows, with flat undersides that run straight back to the house wall.
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Three eras of the Vancouver Special
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The inventory results
Here are the results of my inventory. Over two days, I do a block-by-block count, take a few photos along the way, and quit when my feet get tired.
•    60 blocks (the pocket formed by Commercial Drive on the west, Nanaimo Street on the east, East 1st Avenue on the north, and East Broadway on the south)
•    130 new houses (prior demolitions assumed — or actually witnessed — although in a small number of cases a lot never before built on may have existed)
•    100 major renovations
•    78 minor renovations
•    An unknown number of ‘hidden renovations’ — all those shiny new kitchens and bathrooms, and mortgage-helping rental suites, that from the street give no indication of their presence (even when I try, unobtrusively, to look in people’s windows). I know of four major renos in the neighbourhood that fall into this category, and I record them, but undoubtedly many more occurred over the last eight years.
….I do the following calculation on adjusted figures: the total number of major renovations and new houses (204), divided by the number of blocks (51), divided by the duration so far of Vancouver’s real estate boom (8 years). I exclude partial blocks where I counted houses on the far sides of the main streets that form the boundaries of the pocket, and I adjust for double blocks (count 2), and blocks-and-a-half (count 1.5). The result is an average of 0.5 major renovations and new houses per block, per year — or one per block every two years. However, on the 23 most active blocks, each with an above average total number of projects (5 or more), the average is 0.77 per block, per year — or one per block every 16 months. One major renovation or new house per block every 16 months may not sound like a lot, but consider this. Using VanMap, the city’s web-based GIS, I count all the lots on every block in the pocket, and calculate an average of 23 lots per block. If the rate of change on the most active blocks were to continue unabated, the housing stock on these blocks would be completely renovated or replaced in 30 years. Based on the rate of change for all the blocks that I walked, the entire neighbourhood would be completely renovated or replaced in 46 years.
….Forty-six years ago was 1964, about a year before the earliest Vancouver Specials were built. From a statistical standpoint, if the rate of change in Grandview during the current real estate boom had been ongoing since 1964, the only house that would still exist in the first picture of older housing stock above, or be recognizable in its original form, would be the second one, the Vancouver Special. If we consider the elevated rate of change on the most active blocks during the boom, every house in the first picture would be gone, or renovated to the point of being unrecognizable. Grandview’s streets would be ruled by houses like those in the second picture above, and the newer ones in the photographs below.
….I’m sure there are people at City Hall and the Land Title Office with the appropriate databases who could do this number crunching and analysis much more efficiently and precisely, but my roughhewn results probably wouldn’t differ much from their more precise ones when it comes to an overarching statement. Grandview, and other Vancouver neighbourhoods currently experiencing rapid change, have been profoundly affected by the real estate boom.
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My inventory map
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You would recognize nothing
Imagine a residential street, say the one on which you grew up, with every last house renovated to the point of being unrecognizable, or demolished and replaced with a new house, in a 30-year period. Put another way, you could leave home at 18, and come back in early middle age, and not have the slightest inkling you were standing on the street where you grew up. You would recognize nothing. It’s possible this imagined scenario could become real in neighbourhoods all over Vancouver. The current rate of change strikes me as disorienting. I remember visiting Vancouver in the mid 90s while living elsewhere for a few years, and my disorientation coming across the Granville Street Bridge and seeing all the green glass Concord Pacific towers for the first time. Whoa! Where the hell did all those come from? As if a squadron of alien spaceships had set down on the north shore of False Creek.
….The rate of change in many parts of Vancouver in recent years doesn’t feel human scale, and I think if it continues unchecked for a generation, it would be a bad thing for the individual psyches, and collective psyche, of Vancouverites. You can’t be constantly destroying and remaking your home without it messing with your head. When you can’t count on recognizing things, can’t count on things as fundamental as one’s home and its various touchpoints remaining relatively reliable and stable, the danger is that you stop understanding that certain things have a value that isn’t solely calculated by the marketplace, that certain things, although they may seem mundane, are worth preserving. You may grow up as someone who feels his or her own personal history to be disposable. Why get overly attached to anything if it could be wiped off the face of the earth tomorrow?
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The boom neighbourhood
Here’s a sample of renovated and new Grandview housing stock that in the last eight years has been replacing the old.
….The first shot is a row of four heritage-style duplexes — new houses designed to look like the more elegant of Grandview’s original single-family dwellings built a hundred years ago, and also designed to hide the fact that they’re front-and-back duplexes.  The fifth house in the row is an actual old house. City Hall encourages new house design that fits in with the existing streetscape. Given the rate of change suggested by my inventory, and the amount of demolition, on many blocks ‘existing streetscape’ is more of a conceptual notion than a reality. A friend of mine calls these “faux heritage houses.” I tend to agree. Are they really just builders’ boxes with an overlay of ‘character’? Somewhat cynical insta-heritage designed to entice the Anglo-Saxon demographic priced out of the West Side? They feel like a simulacrum of the old designed to make some of us feel better about the fact we’re progressively destroying that which is actually old.
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Heritage-style duplexes: one old house, and four new houses designed to look old
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….The second shot is a good example of the other type of new house built in Grandview during the boom — the naked builders’ box that does little to disguise its essential box-ness. Towering over the two remaining stucco bungalows, which have so far escaped the excavator’s jaws, it’s hard to argue that these new houses fit in with the existing streetscape. But once those last two survivors from the 1930s or 1940s are gone, and replaced by builders’ boxes, a new uniformity will be established. I’ve come up with another name for this style of house: boom box. Builders’ boxes built during the boom.
….Aesthetics is a personal matter. I find these boom boxes ugly, but others may not. Or aesthetics may not be a primary concern when selecting a house. And unlike the new-age heritage houses, I don’t detect any cynicism in the forthright utilitarianism of these structures. Much like the original Vancouver Specials, these houses maximize square footage for the price, and they work well for larger families. In Grandview, and East Vancouver in general, these are often longstanding Chinese-Canadian families with working class origins, often with three or even four generations living in one house (as distinct from the more recent, wealthier immigrants from China gravitating to the suburban municipality of Richmond). If you have an aged mother, and two or more adult children living with you, you need space.
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East Vancouver boom boxes: builders’ boxes built during the boom
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….And finally, a before-and-after shot of one of those renovations that completely transforms the original house.
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Before and after
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Where’s the money coming from?
The answer to this question is simple. For homeowners undertaking major renovations or demolishing and rebuilding: from the houses themselves. For developers and builders constructing spec houses (houses built with the speculation of finding a buyer): from the killing they made on the previous spec project. Once the real estate boom gets seriously underway in 2002, and prices keep cranking upward, the boom becomes self-sustaining to a certain degree. Owners of existing homes see their annual property assessment balloon, as if on steroids. After three or four years of these eye-popping increases they start to feel wealthy, and the bank agrees. Interest rates keep falling. In the aftermath of 9/11 rates fall to generational lows. In the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, interest rates hit all-time lows. Over the past eight years, cheap money, and then incredibly cheap money, drive house prices into completely new territory — surreal territory in Vancouver, where many homeowners sit on increasingly massive war chests of home equity. Yes, it’s paper equity. Yes, it would shrivel in the event of a price collapse. But it’s paper wealth that’s solid enough for the banks to approve large home equity lines of credit secured by the houses, like the one my wife and I are given when we renew our mortgage in September of 2006.
….For many Vancouver homeowners, armed with these HELOCs, or with construction loans, it’s been time to spend. For builders, developers, and the various construction trades the only problem is the inability to clone themselves so they can take the money and complete the projects twice as fast, the demand is so great. Renovations that completely transform modest houses, often coming close to doubling the square footage. Tear-downs to make way for ‘dream homes’. Tear-downs to free up land for spec building, which can be more lucrative than custom building for a specific client. There’s no mystery about what’s at the root of the recent dramatic changes in Grandview, and in many other Vancouver neighbourhoods. It’s money.
….And, in many cases, the changing demographics associated with the money. The willingness to spend it. The longstanding blue-collar inhabitants of Grandview, the retired Italians, and Portuguese, and Chinese, the widows, are sitting on the same home equity as the more recent, white-collar arrivals, but they aren’t spending it. In fact, they’ll be sitting on even larger cash mountains, because they paid off their modest homes years ago. One hundred percent ownership. But these older residents achieved that ownership through years of grinding it out in tough jobs, and through financial prudence — like my wife’s parents, living a few blocks away, working nights in various restaurant kitchens, and the early shift in a meat packing plant. Scrimping, saving, keeping a lid on unnecessary expenditures. These are people constitutionally averse to dropping five or ten grand on granite countertops, or stainless steel kitchen appliances. (Will events in the coming years cause all of us to become constitutionally averse?) They’ve lived in their houses for years. They’re used to them the way they are. They aren’t interested in the stress and upheaval of a major reno. They’ve got the equity, but they need it to backstop their retirements, and to pass on to their adult kids.
….It’s the more recently arrived inhabitants, with years of earning potential still ahead, who are spending. White-collar information professionals who work their days at computer keyboards are supplanting blue-collar workers who needed to move all day long, use all the muscles in their bodies to earn a living. A younger generation, with English as their first language, and their labour more valued by society. Some of the new arrivals are real estate refugees from the West Side, where they may have grown up, or where they might have been able to buy in previous decades, and perhaps still aspire to live one day, and where the average house price is currently 1.5 million dollars. The new influx has a different relation to money, and debt, and the rapidly changing built environment of the neighbourhood is a direct manifestation of that relation.
….I’m going to leave discussion of whether or not Grandview is gentrifying to a future episode. Certainly, some of the elements of gentrification appear to be in place, but a number of local subtleties prevent a simple answer to the question.
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Shock and disorientation
Most of us have experienced the shock and disorientation of returning to a familiar place and finding it radically changed — never more so than if the familiar place is a house in which we grew up, and upon returning, anticipating that first sight, the feeling of reacquaintance, we find it gone. A bald, empty lot stares at us, or some new monstrosity. Something new always seems a monstrosity in our eyes. The alteration from the image in our mind, the feeling in our heart, at the very least feels like a breach of trust, and depending on how calamitous the circumstances, a violation, a kick that leaves a sick feeling in the gut. So imagine coming back to the familiar place and finding the entire block, every house, gone, or so changed that the block, the houses, might as well be gone. The one-time connection to you is certainly gone. Part of your personal history is effaced.
….There’s something very personal about demolishing a house, a home. It’s not the same as dynamiting an aging sports stadium. People can feel very strong connections to public structures, but they’re part of a communal connection. The spectacle of a half torn apart home is like a personal nakedness come upon, always a little unseemly. The emotions, the personal history, the tender or fraught relationships that the house has contained, and concealed, and protected from view, are rudely exposed. Like ghosts escaping into the ether, the long-hidden truths of past lives, having seeped into the walls over decades, now evaporate when exposed to air.
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Some East Vancouver ghosts

We don’t demolish our house. We renovate it to a degree that would certainly fit with my definition of ‘major’, with a final phase of the renovation still in the future. In hindsight, the financial wisdom of our choice may be questionable. For perhaps a third more money than we’ll end up spending once all phases of the renovation are complete, we could have demolished the house and built a new one. One with a full-height ground level, more square footage on the main floor, and a second storey that might afford a view of the mountains, at least when the leaves are off the trees in winter. And an increase in market value that could very well surpass the extra outlay upfront, although this last point is debatable, and dependent on what happens to house values in the coming years. But these are things you learn with experience.
….What I do know is that some ghosts would have been lost forever if we’d brought in the excavator and the forty-foot dump trailer and smashed everything to kindling.
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Homemade wine
The first ghost is a remnant from a wooden box of Zinfandel wine grapes — the box end with the producer’s colourful label. I find this board when I’m disassembling the framing of the bathroom in the old rental suite. Nailed between two studs, it’s serving as a piece of blocking for the shower plumbing. So along with their spouses, one or both of the Portuguese brothers, who put in the old suite in the 1980s, were probably makers of homemade wine. I know from my neighbour that the family used to run a bakery on nearby Nanaimo Street.
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Wine box end
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War bride?
The second ghost is fragile, a 3-inch by 4-inch scrap I find beneath attic insulation, a paper label clinging to the back of a board that along with a few other boards has been used to close off an attic hatch. The label says NOT WANTED, and a woman’s name is typed on it: Mrs. D.O. O’Malley. Although this ghost is the most recent I’ve encountered, it’s the oldest.
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Not Wanted label
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Some older readers may understand immediately the original purpose of this label, but it takes me a while to figure it out, and without Google, I might still be scratching my head. I assume “8/51” in the lower left corner is the date August 1951, which means the label comes from a time when immigrants arrived in Canada by ship, rather than aircraft. “Not Wanted” is short for “Not Wanted on the Voyage”, a designation given to things like steamer trunks and wooden crates that traveled in a ship’s hold because the passengers didn’t need them during their time at sea. Googling key parts of the address in the lower right corner — Canadian Civilian Repatriation Section, Sackville House, London, W.1 — unpacks the rest of the story.
….The Civilian Repatriation Section was part of the Canadian Wives’ Bureau, a department of the Canadian military set up in England and Europe to transport war brides to Canada where they were reunited with the returned servicemen they’d married during the Second World War. So Mrs. D.O. O’Malley may have been a war bride , although 1951 is late for a Canadian war bride. Most traveled to Canada in 1946, the year after the war ended. But the fact that it’s a woman’s married name that appears by itself on the label certainly suggests a war bride. And our house, a modest bungalow built in a working class part of town in 1946, certainly fits well with the theory of O’Malley the returning veteran, buying or building a new little house to bring his bride to. Somewhat inconclusive, but I’m happy to let elements of the mystery remain, at least for now.
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Childhood home
The final ghost is flesh-and-blood, and on a bright summer day rings the doorbell. Peter Chang is about my age and he tells us that he was in the neighbourhood and our house is his childhood home. We invite him in and give him a tour, or more accurately, he gives us a tour of the ghost house that hovers in his memory, superimposed on the one we’re all standing in. Peter is surprised by the attractive Douglas fir floors, probably the best feature of the house, which we had refinished just before moving in. The brothers (I’m assuming it was them) had previously butchered them, a do-it-yourself attempt at refinishing that left waves, and divots, throughout. Some things really should be left to specialists. But Peter had not even been aware that there were original fir floors. When his parents bought the house in the late 1950s, the wood had been entirely covered with battleship linoleum, and it stayed that way throughout his childhood and teen years.
….We spend an interesting hour listening to Peter’s details about the house and his family. They were the first Chinese family on the block. His father was no longer alive, and we get the sense he may have died prematurely. At a certain point Peter and his family had to ask the neighbours to stop giving his father bottles of their homemade wine. As I’d suspected, there was previously a set of stairs to the lower level, in the back corner of the house where there’s now a narrow bedroom on the main floor, and the laundry room directly beneath. As part of putting in the rental suite, the brothers obviously removed the stairs, and closed the opening, gaining a small room on each floor in the process. Peter and his brother used to go down this U-shaped stairway to the partially finished basement, where they spent hours with their chemistry sets. Until Peter mentions it, I’d totally forgotten about those childhood chemistry sets. The concrete front steps on the house were put in by Peter’s parents when the old wooden ones started to rot and became unsafe. The bright red that peeks through several layers of peeling and flaking grey paint is the original colour that the stairs were painted.
….We get Peter’s contact information. He tells us he has quite a few photographs we might find interesting. We intend to get in touch, although we haven’t yet. Peter’s visit is prior to our renovation, so if he comes back for another look, he’s going to be surprised again. But if we had demolished Peter’s childhood home, would he have had any reason to ring our doorbell, or the heart to?
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February 2010, Grandview
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Next episode
Part 6: “Renovation Nervosa”
I don’t always walk the blocks of our neighbourhood purely in the spirit of unscientific inquiry, as I do in February of 2010, when I count all the renovations and new houses. In our first years in the neighbourhood, as it starts to transform before me, I often feel not exactly envy, but anxiety that other people are getting on with things and we aren’t.
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Financial details
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http://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2010/02/fsc_chart_e03.png?w=509&h=348
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From 2004 onward, all mortgage and LOC balances are as of 31 December of the year in question.
.
2003
Asking Price: $355,000
Sale Price: $355,000
Down payment: $88,750 (25%, ergo, no CMHC insurance, representing thousands of dollars of additional cost)
Mortgage (at purchase, Sep 2003): $266,250
Terms: 3 year fixed at 4.00%, 18 year amortization, bi-weekly payments
2003 Property Assessment (estimate of market value on July 1, 2002): $260,600
2004 Property Assessment (estimate of market value on July 1, 2003): $330,500
Equity based on assessment: $64,250
.
2004
Mortgage principal: $247,330
Terms: 3 year fixed at 4.00%, 18 year amortization, bi-weekly payments
2005 Property Assessment (estimate of market value on July 1, 2004): $420,000
Equity based on assessment: $172,670
.
2005
Mortgage principal: $201,829
Terms: 3 year fixed at 4.00%, 18 year amortization, bi-weekly payments
2006 Property Assessment (estimate of market value on July 1, 2005): $461,000
Equity based on assessment: $259,171
.
2006
Mortgage principal: $191,884
Terms: 5 year variable at Prime minus .75%, 25 year amortization, bi-weekly payments
HELOC balance: $4,291
HELOC interest rate: variable, at Prime.
2007 Property Assessment (estimate of market value on July 1, 2006): $570,000
Equity based on assessment: $373,825

The Froogle Scott Chronicles: Mortgaging Our Souls In Paradise – Part 4: Raise or Raze — Prelude

Songs. Buildings. Food. Books. Houses. People. When we lose respect for things, our respect for each other is in jeopardy. During booms we see flagrant examples of misallocation of resources. Easy money fosters and rewards the ‘fast-and-loose’ mindset. People spend and destroy in ways that they wouldn’t during more measured, prudent, and thoughtful times. Individuals who would usually be careful may be lured into taking on debt, and spending, in ways that would be unimaginable for them under more typical market conditions. The result is wasted resources; both material and human. Can we be mindful users? -vreaa

Part 4: Raise or Raze — Prelude

……………………………………….TEAR-DOWN

No, the house depicted above is not that which belongs to Froogle Scott, but it is in his neighbourhood, and was demolished at the same time that he and his wife were undertaking major renovations on their East Vancouver house.

Next week, in episode 5 of our series, Froogle Scott will look at how the eight-year real estate boom in Vancouver, and the associated renovation and construction mania, have changed the face of his neighbourhood. This week, he offers the above photo-montage as a prelude to next week’s story. Click on the images for full size photos.

Bear Baiting – “It’s the whole tone the bears take when presented with a good deal. This home couldn’t possibly be priced in my range because, it’s a dump, it has two alleys, it’s close to commercial buildings, yadda yadda yadda.”

Those bullish the market are cajoling cautious prospective owners by claiming that they simply don’t have the fortitude to buy, or that they have over-inflated and unrealistic ideas regarding the quality of housing they deserve. -vreaa

Main Photo: For Sale: 625 E 24TH Avenue Vancouver Fraser VE : Residential Detached

eyesthebye at RE Talks 9 Feb 2010 started a discussion headlined “Great Deal on this SFH in Main area” by referencing the above house (625 E 24th Ave; built 1910; 1490 sqft + 800 sqft unfinished; 33×122 ft lot; asking price $679K) and claiming that it was a “great deal”, that ‘sweat equity’ would add $300K-$400K to its value, and also offering to bet that it will sell for $100K over ask. Debate as to the desirability of this property ensued, regarding construction quality, age of the structure, neighbourhood, proximity to commercial area, and even the property’s Feng Shui. At that point the original poster objected to all the objections by saying: “It’s not just the discussion itself – it’s the whole tone the bears take when presented with a good deal. Like argufying themselves out of the market. This home couldn’t possibly be priced in my range because, it’s a dump, it has two alleys, it’s close to commercial buildings, yadda yadda yadda. If prices were 50% cheaper bears would still talk themselves out of buying somehow” and “This home might be [only] a half great deal to you – but your opinion doesn’t coincide with this market. Most buyers would probably tell you that being able to buy a decent home under assessed value constitues a great deal – at any time.” Poster dot com refugee pointed out that the house seemed “bloody expensive”, to which jimtan replied “Move to Windsor! You’ll love it there!!!”.

Visual Group Anecdote – 50% of Construction Jobs Will Disappear

Employment growth in BC over the last decade has been solely related to the housing bubble and the closely associated Olympic construction projects. At one point in 2008, the number of individuals involved in construction represented 250% of what one would expect under more normal market conditions. This chart is from the indispensible local RE blog, Housing Analysis, run by bloggers jesse and mohican. In a 7 Feb 2010 post, they predict that, with “the continued completion of construction projects through the spring and summer”, the number of construction jobs will drop from current 200K to the 2001 levels (100K), very rapidly. We agree with this outlook. -vreaa

[industry-jan10.JPG]

“lying on top of a building the clouds looked no nearer than when I was lying on the street”

From an article by David Ebner in The Globe and Mail 3 Feb 2010 8:15 pm“At the corner of Cordova and Burrard, a one-line poem by British artist Liam Gillick wraps the facade of the new Fairmont Pacific Rim. The 60-centimetre-tall steel letters repeat for 17 storeys: “lying on top of a building the clouds looked no nearer than when I was lying on the street”.

We like the meaning and the sentiment, but we’re unsure about the business model, circa 2010. -vreaa

Visual anecdote – ‘Character Home’ in Point Grey for $1,300,000

3804 W 10TH AV, Point Grey, Vancouver West

MLS V802328

33×122 lot, old timer, $1,300,000.00

“Good investment character home in Point Grey. Peaceful neighborhood for family.” [Actually, on a very busy street, and next to shopping intersection -ed.]

Update: Context care of Google earth:

Visual anecdote – 1947 sqft in Point Grey for $1,288,000

V806376

4313 W 11TH AV, Point Grey, Vancouver West

MLS V806376

1947 sqft, 33×122 lot, old timer, $1,288,000.00

Happy Smiling Buildings? – Subtle Signs Of A Distorted Vancouver RE Market In An Olympic Children’s Book

Imagine that you are an artist illustrating a children’s book. The story involves three magical, animated creatures adventuring around British Columbia in preparation for a big sporting event. You decide to portray some creatures and objects as having human emotions, by giving them smiley faces. The story is set in places of great natural beauty: the seas, the beaches, the forests, the slopes, the campgrounds. The creatures (a ‘sea-bear’, a ‘sasquatch’ and an ‘animal garden spirit’) are rooted in folklore that reveres nature. The year is 2010, the world is preoccupied with the environment. . It would be natural for you to animate the mountains, trees, oceans, islands… right? Well, yes, maybe you would, if all else were equal. If, however, you were living in a society obsessed with its profoundly over-inflated real estate market, you’d be moved to animate the buildings. Yes, the buildings. See below for the animated entity scorecard. Trees 1; Highrise Buildings 27. Subtle point? Perhaps. But a preposterously distorted real estate market does effect a society in innumerable subtle ways. -vreaa

From ‘Miga, Quatchi and/et Sumi’: ‘The Story of the Vancouver 2010 Mascots’ by MEOMI (Vicki Wong and Michael Murphy) -

Entities With Smiley Faces Scorecard:
Seaweed 7
Starfish 1
Octopus 1
Mushrooms 7
Bridges 2
Trees 1
Highrise Buildings 27

Excerpt – “The glass buildings of Vancouver shimmered with light…”

Visual Anecdote: Artist Reece Terris’ “Another False Front”, and the Vancouver RE Bubble.

Artist Reece Terris has produced a very fine piece of art, The Western Front Front – Another False Front’, for Western Front Exhibitions and the ‘Vancouver 2010 Cultural Olympiad‘.  The work subversively comments on the Vancouver RE Bubble, and wittily uses Construction as its medium. The artist has added a large parapet and cornice to the façade of the Western Front Gallery in Vancouver. Description and discussion of the work is reproduced and linked below. We respect the obvious fact that the piece is open to many different interpretations. Here are some initial associations: False Front. Appearance Over Substance. Superficial. Artifice. Insincere. Without Real Substance. Overextended. Exaggerated. Overreaching. Showy. Boastful. Advertised Wealth. Pride Without Foundation. Ambitious. Obvious. Conformist. Frontier. Boomtown. Wannabe. Temporary. Shoddy. Transitory. Veneer. Hollow.       Impressive!      Thank you, Reece Terris. -vreaa

This from vancouver2010.com, the official games website (screencapture: here) -

“The Western Front, one of Canada’s longest running artist-run arts centres, is located in Vancouver’s Mount Pleasant neighbourhood. In an architectural intervention, artist Reece Terris constructs a temporary false front on top of the centre’s already existing false front. This work is in keeping with the idea of architecture as an expression of perceived wealth and culture, and it emphasizes Vancouver’s long-running upswing in the real-estate market and subsequent boom economy.”

This from Reece Terris’ own site, reaceterris.com (sceencaptures: description & installation) -

“The Western Front Front, (Another False Front).

This work is under construction at the Western Front Gallery, Opens December 5, 2009.
The proposed work is an architectural intervention where an adaptation of the existing western false front (or commercial false front) is added to in order to emphasize Vancouver’s long running upswing in the real estate market and subsequent boom economy.
Historically, “the false front commercial building type is seen as a building of the urban pioneer west; a boomtown street lined with false front buildings created visual continuity and an urban atmosphere lending a grander, larger-than-life appearance to the primitive cabins. False fronts crowded together along business streets gave frontier camps a visual sense of security, reinforcing the logical notion of Main Street as a tangible link to civilization. The goal of the western false front design was to produce a building of visual quality that approximated the kinds of buildings being constructed in the more established cities”.
In keeping with the idea of architectural form as an expression of the perception of wealth and culture; I am proposing to construct a temporary false front on top of the already existing false front. The new false front will be one and a half times larger than the original false front and project out over the sidewalk at a slight angle.
Quote from: Dale Heckendorn, “New architectural styles / types added to the lexicon,” Historical & Architectural Survey Newsletter, October 2005 – number 10.”

This from Western Front Gallery at front.bc.ca -

“Western Front Exhibitions is pleased to present The Western Front Front – Another False Front by Vancouver-based artist Reece Terris. This public art project is commissioned by Western Front Exhibitions and presented with the Vancouver 2010 Cultural Olympiad.

The Western Front Front – Another False Front is an architectural intervention constructed on the exterior of the Western Front building. Terris’s addition consists of a new, larger façade, including parapet and cornice. Exaggerating its formal elements, the structure has been built at one-and-a-half times scale, and installed on top of the existing façade at a slight angle.

Historically, wooden false fronts were ornamental structures erected on the front of goldrush-era buildings to make hastily built boomtowns appear more impressive. This created the illusion of larger, more important buildings mimicking those built of cast iron or brick in more established cities. Symbolizing the pioneering Western town, the false front is both synonymous with the artificial display of wealth as well as the rapid boom-and-bust expansions of early mining, railroad and forestry communities.

One of a handful of wood-frame buildings still standing in Vancouver with a false front, the Western Front was constructed in the early 1900s as a lodge for the the Knights of Pythias, a fraternal order. In 1972, the building was purchased by a group of artists and converted into a live/work space. This affiliation grew into the Western Front Society, one of Canada’s longest-running artist-run centres.

Drawing from architectural history to contemporary discussions around façadism (the practice of demolishing a building while leaving its façade intact), Terris’ project juxtaposes bygone projections of culture and prosperity with references to the rapidly expanding economic cycles of modern-day Vancouver.”

Discussion of Reece Terris’ work at www.kostuikgallery.com.

“NOTHING WILL BE ALRIGHT”

Bob Rennie, the Vancouver condo marketer, installed an art piece by Martin Creed on his office building in Vancouver’s Chinatown recently. It reads ‘Everything Is Going To Be Alright’. We posted an image and discussion 27 Nov 2009. Rennie interpreted the work literally, and actually said as much, whereas the artist’s intention was clearly ironic. More information now comes to light to confirm the ironic intent. Even more ironically, the piece was previously installed in that other bastion of real estate strength, Detroit. After it had been displayed outside the Detroit Museum of Contemporary Art for some time, it was replaced by a second work, ‘Nothing Will Be Alright’. Somehow, despite the insistence from some quarters that we are a ‘World Class City’,  I can’t see Vancouver sensibilities being capable of handling all this irony. Imagine ‘Nothing Will Be Alright’ on Rennie’s building in Chinatown? No, neither can I.

Vancouver, Detroit, ‘Everything Is Going To Be Alright’, ‘Nothing Will Be Alright’. Hmmmm. -vreaa.


“EVERYTHING IS GOING TO BE ALRIGHT” (“Or NOT?”)

The poster boy for the Vancouver RE boom has now come up with a poster that may well end up becoming the ultimate ironic visual anecdote.  Vancouver condo marketer Bob Rennie explains its meaning, and ‘rentah’ comments. This from Bob Rennie, BC Business magazine, 2 Sept 2009 -

“On the exterior walls of my new offices in Chinatown, I’ve installed a 23-metre neon work of art by Britain’s Martin Creed. It reads, EVERYTHING IS GOING TO BE ALRIGHT. And it will. Yes, we boomers are on the downward side of our peak earning years. Yes, we’ve experienced the biggest financial collapse in our lifetime. We will have to institute dramatic changes in how we entertain ourselves, where and how we travel, what we drive, where we live and how we ultimately pass on wealth to our children. For the enterprising business person, there are many opportunities out there to capitalize on this new reality. But for those praying for a return to yesterday, forget it. It’s gone.”

This from  rentah, in the comment section of the same article, 11 Sep 2009 18:04

“Interesting. I’d say that Rennie has COMPLETELY misread Martin Creed’s work. He’s purchased it as a giant Hallmark Card, when it’s actually intended as an ironic warning. (Perhaps everything is NOT going to be alright.) Here [follow] some more works by Creed:
Ask yourself… “Is it the artist’s intention for me to take these works literally?”
Then think about what Rennie is doing.”

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Update 16 Dec 2009:
Ironically, the ‘Everything Is Going To Be Alright’ piece was previously installed in that other bastion of real estate strength, Detroit. And it was later changed to ‘Nothing Will Be Alright’. Somehow, I can’t see Vancouver sensibilities being capable of handling all this irony. Imagine ‘Nothing Will Be Alright’ on Rennie’s building in Chinatown. No, neither can I. -vreaa.



Discussed at booooooom.com, with this comment from HFRY 11 Dec 2009: “DETROIT Museum of Contemporary Art had this first by Martin Creed. Then it got changed to ‘Nothing Will Be Alright’ ! think about it.”

The Art of the Vancouver RE Haggle

Vancouver Realtor Tom Everitt Seals the Deal. Also starring uncanny thinktom look-alike, Richard Kind (super-geek ‘Cousin Andy’ in ‘Curb Your Enthusiasm’).

Visual from Kits – “Due To Financial Difficulty, Must Sell!”

200903kits