A ‘Lot’ Of Realtors Agree: No Price Drops Ahead

From MacDonald Realty November Market Update, November 2010 -
“The Macdonald Realty 2010 Real Estate Conference was held on October 19th at the new Vancouver Convention Centre. Over 300 residential agents, commercial brokers, and property managers attended this event which featured … prominent guests and speakers.
The highlight of the event was a discussion between a host of prominent economists and industry leaders.
BMO deputy chief economist Douglas Porter led the discussion with an overview of the Canadian economy and global forces that could affect the economic recovery following the great recession. He concluded that while there was a chance of a double dip in the global economy, it’s much more likely that the current recovery would stick, albeit the pace of growth will be slow.
UBC real estate professor Tsur Sommerville gave a presentation on the BC real estate market and stated that the recent resurgence in prices meant that future gains would be slower than in previous years. That said, he also saw no sign of a pullback in prices and predicted slow, but steady price growth for the foreseeable future.
Bosa Development VP Eric Martin agreed that prices were unlikely to fall, stating that the US and Canadian housing markets are markedly different for one reason: bank lending practices.”

7 Responses to A ‘Lot’ Of Realtors Agree: No Price Drops Ahead

  1. Pundits with conflicts of interest opine about the future health of their collective industries.

    Here’s a riddle for you: when does printing money cause interest rates to drop?

  2. I wonder if there were any discussions of price/rent ratios, percentage of Debt/Disposable Incomes, income/carrying cost ratios? Why talk about fundamentals when delusions are so much more comforting?

  3. What are they supposed to say? The truth?

  4. reminds me of the CDO convention in Las Vegas circa 2007-
    7000 bankers all assuring each other that the asset backed mortgages they were packaging into CDOs were never going to default because they were highly rated by the ratings agencies they pressured into rating the CDOs as low risk.

    You are right Peter Pan- it comes down to those factors.

    The current recovery would stick- let’s just keep printing money and hoping for the best.

    It is really disheartening to watch this unfold after having watched it so closely in the US and then Ireland (where I was living when the Irish bubble burst). The same arguments from the same people….

  5. Village Whisperer

    Disheartening, NVD?

    Predictability is the greatest advantage you can ever have. Use it wisely.

  6. North vand dude – nice to see your comments. Being an outsider it is easier to see then those who are constantly inundated with biggest game in town and yes it is a game.

    My thoughts accord with yours, but the mania on the way up is so entrenched it is going to be deeply scaring on the way down.

    Looks like the spring will have a huge amount of stock hitting the market place, whoch help drive prices lower.

    As for the realtors – well – if they came out and said the truth which is prices are already falling it would make news. Instead they feed the B/s line

  7. Omg..why do we have people who are able to help correct the inevitable put us into more trouble or tell us more BS??? Shiet, have they not learned..look at the idiot Campbell he quit before he got his ass fired!!! Common really?…

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